Win Probability Trend
Majority Control Impact
Road to the Majority →
If Democrats win this seat
D majority probability rises by this much
If Republicans win this seat
R majority probability rises by this much
Combined majority impact
+44pp
District Demographics
RDH block-level CVAP (2024)
RACE & ETHNICITY · CVAP
Total Minority
15.0%
-15.6pp vs national
76th of 435
Non-Hispanic White
85.0%
+15.6pp vs national
357th of 435
Black / African American
1.6%
-11.3pp vs national
33rd of 435
Hispanic / Latino
6.4%
-4.2pp vs national
159th of 435
Asian
1.8%
-2.0pp vs national
129th of 435
Am. Indian / Alaska Native
1.0%
+0.4pp vs national
272nd of 435
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander
0.3%
+0.2pp vs national
344th of 435
Multiracial
0.5%
+0.1pp vs national
247th of 435
Racial Composition · CVAP
$75,273
Median Household Income
-$6,583 vs national
181st of 435
12.5%
Poverty Rate
+0.1pp vs national
243rd of 435
31.7%
Bachelor's Degree or Higher
-3.3pp vs national
186th of 435