Win Probability Trend
Majority Control Impact
Road to the Majority →
If Democrats win this seat
D majority probability rises by this much
If Republicans win this seat
R majority probability rises by this much
Combined majority impact
+25pp
State Demographics
RDH block-level CVAP (2024)
RACE & ETHNICITY · CVAP
Total Minority
22.3%
-8.3pp vs national
21st of 50
Non-Hispanic White
77.7%
+8.3pp vs national
29th of 50
Black / African American
13.0%
+0.1pp vs national
34th of 50
Hispanic / Latino
4.1%
-6.5pp vs national
14th of 50
Asian
2.3%
-1.5pp vs national
24th of 50
Am. Indian / Alaska Native
0.3%
-0.3pp vs national
22nd of 50
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander
0.0%
-0.1pp vs national
1st of 50
Multiracial
0.3%
-0.1pp vs national
18th of 50
Racial Composition · CVAP
$74,003
Median Household Income
-$7,853 vs national
16th of 50
13.2%
Poverty Rate
+0.8pp vs national
36th of 50
32.4%
Bachelor's Degree or Higher
-2.6pp vs national
19th of 50